Guido Schultefrankenfeld

Deutsche Bundesbank

Senior Economist

Wilhelm-Epstein-Str. 14

Research Centre

Frankfurt/Main, DE Hesse 60431

Germany

http://www.bundesbank.de/research_guido_schultefrankenfeld

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

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Scholarly Papers (11)

Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 05 Oct 2021 Last Revised: 06 Dec 2021
Mathias Hoffmann, Emanuel Moench, Guido Schultefrankenfeld and Lora Pavlova
Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Deutsche Bundesbank and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 134 (289,616)

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Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16786
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 04 Feb 2022 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2022
Mathias Hoffmann, Emanuel Moench, Lora Pavlova and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Deutsche Bundesbank and Deutsche Bundesbank
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Household Inflation Expectations, Monetary policy strategy, randomized control trial, survey data

2.

Clear, Consistent and Engaging: ECB Monetary Policy Communication in a Changing World

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021/274
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 19 Jan 2022
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General International and European Relations, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Národná banka Slovenska, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General International and European Relations, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Slovenia, National Bank of Belgium, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Goethe University Frankfurt, Bank of Finland, Deutsche Bundesbank, Latvijas Banka, Deutsche BundesbankGoethe University Frankfurt - House of Finance, Banco de España, De Nederlandsche Bank, Národná banka Slovenska, Bank of Estonia, National Bank of Belgium, Central Bank of Cyprus and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 92 (373,883)

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accountability, central bank, forward guidance, transparency, trust

3.

The Ecb's Price Stability Framework: Past Experience, and Current and Future Challenges

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021269
Number of pages: 128 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, Bank of Latvia, ECB -DG Monetary Policy, De Nederlandsche Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Portugal, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Bank of Finland - Research, Central Bank of Cyprus, Deutsche BundesbankEuropean Central Bank (ECB)University of Kiel, European Central BankECB, European Central Bank (ECB), Central Bank of Ireland, Banco de España, Bank of Italy, Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), De Nederlandsche Bank, European Central Bank, University of St. Gallen, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Finland, Central Bank of Ireland, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank (ECB), Národná banka Slovenska, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, European Central Bank, European Central Bank, Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of Italy and Bank of Italy
Downloads 88 (384,164)

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effective lower bound, euro area, European Central Bank, monetary policy strategy, price stability

Forecast Uncertainty and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decisions

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 17, No. 1, 2013
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 09 Aug 2015
Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 16 (740,999)

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Forecast Uncertainty, Forecast Risk, Bank of England, Monetary Policy Committee, Forecast-based Interest Rate Rules

Forecast Uncertainty and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decisions

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2010,27
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 11 (787,071)

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Forecast Uncertainty, Forecast Risk, Bank of England, Monetary Policy Committee, Forecast-based Interest Rate Rules

5.

Assessing the Uncertainty in Central Banks' Inflation Outlooks

Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 56/2018
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 11 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 26 (641,704)
Citation 1

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Density Forecasts, Fan Charts, Forecast Optimality, Forecast Accuracy

6.

Appropriate Monetary Policy and Forecast Disagreement at the FOMC

Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 39/2017
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 08 Jan 2018
Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 21 (677,531)

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Federal Reserve System, Federal Open Market Committee, Federal Funds Rate, Dissent, Forecast Disagreement

7.

The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts

Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 11/2013
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 21 Jun 2016
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 19 (692,522)

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Forecast Accuracy, Density Forecasts, Projections

8.

How Informative are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,13
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 13 (740,845)

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forecast evaluation, risk forecasts, inflation forecasts

How Informative are Macroeconomic Risk Forecasts? An Examination of the Bank of England's Inflation Forecasts

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2008,14
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 12 (777,643)

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Forecast evaluation, risk forecasts, Bank of England inflation forecasts

How Informative are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?

International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 8(3), 87-139, 2012
Posted: 09 Aug 2015 Last Revised: 13 Sep 2016
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Deutsche Bundesbank

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10.

Evaluating Macroeconomic Risk Forecasts

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,14
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 11 (758,352)

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forecast evaluation, asymmetric densities, skewness

11.

Interest Rate Assumptions and Predictive Accuracy of Central Bank Forecasts

Empirical Economics, Forthcoming
Posted: 20 Apr 2017
Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank

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Forecast accuracy, Density forecasts, Projections