Victor Haghani

Elm Partners

CEO

1630 Willow View Drive

PO Box 1417

Wilson, WY 83014

http://www.elmfunds.com

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

29

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,777

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 1,777

in Total Papers Downloads

22,966

SSRN CITATIONS

3

CROSSREF CITATIONS

6

Scholarly Papers (29)

1.

Rational Decision-Making under Uncertainty: Observed Betting Patterns on a Biased Coin

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 25 Oct 2016
Victor Haghani and Richard Dewey
Elm Partners and Royal Bridge Capital
Downloads 10,970 (550)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Uncertainty, Utility, Risk Aversion, Kelly, Gambling, Betting, Coin Flip, Market Anomalies, Return Predictability, Behavioral Finance, Market Timing, Gamblers Fallacy, St Petersburg Paradox, CRRA

2.

Optimal Trade Sizing in a Game with Favourable Odds: The Stock Market

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 02 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2016
Victor Haghani and Andrew Morton
Elm Partners and Citigroup, Inc. - Citigroup Global Markets
Downloads 2,026 (9,842)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Uncertainty, Utility, Risk Aversion, Kelly, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Behavioral Finance, Market Timing, Gamblers Fallacy, St. Petersburg Paradox, Gambling, Betting, CRRA

3.

What's Past is Not Prologue

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 08 Aug 2018
James White, Jeffrey Rosenbluth and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners, Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 1,861 (11,293)

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Market Timing, Gambling, Betting, Manager Selection, Sharpe Ratio, Mutual Funds, Data Mining

4.

Return Chasing and Trend Following: Superficial Similarities Mask Fundamental Differences

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 21 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2016
Victor Haghani and Samantha McBride
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 1,837 (11,517)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Momentum, Trend Following, Return Chasing, Investor Sentiment, Asset Allocation, Tactical Asset Allocation, GTAA, Market Anomalies, Capital Flows, Fund Flows, Price Pressure, Price Impact, Return Predictability, Behavioral Finance, Investor Returns, Fund Returns, Past Performance, Market Timing

5.

The Equity Risk Premium: A Novel Perspective on the Past Fifty Years

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 23 Mar 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 1,223 (21,597)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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stock market, historical returns, COVID-19, coronavirus, equities, expected returns, CAPE, long-term investing

6.

What Our Market Return Forecasts Really Mean: Convexity in Equity Returns and its Implications for Investment Sizing

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 10 Feb 2017 Last Revised: 06 Sep 2019
Victor Haghani and James White
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 1,013 (28,445)

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Kelly, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Market Timing, Gambling, Betting, CRRA

7.

A Sharper Lens for Sizing Up Nickels and Steamrollers

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 23 Nov 2016 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2018
Victor Haghani and James White
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 943 (31,478)

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Uncertainty, Utility, Risk Aversion, Kelly, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Behavioral Finance, Market Timing, Gamblers Fallacy, St. Petersburg Paradox, Gambling, Betting, CRRA

8.

When (If Ever) Has it Paid to Wait for a Stock Market Correction?

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 26 Sep 2017
Victor Haghani and James White
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 879 (34,701)

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Market Timing, Gambling, Betting, Manager Selection, Sharpe Ratio, Mutual Funds, Data Mining, Conditional Return

9.

A Brief History of Sharpe Ratio, and Beyond

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 13 Dec 2017 Last Revised: 16 Dec 2017
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 676 (49,629)

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Market Timing, Gambling, Betting, Manager Selection, Sharpe Ratio, Mutual Funds, Data Mining

10.

Dynamic Asset Allocation Based on Valuation and Momentum Applied to a Global All-Equity Portfolio

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 29 Apr 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 238 (165,329)

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All-Equity, Valuation and Momentum, Asset Allocation, Global Finance

11.

George Costanza at it Again: The Leveraged ETF Episode

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 09 Jun 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 158 (239,326)

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ETFs, SPXS, SPXL, leveraged ETFs

12.

Negative Interest Rates and the Perpetuity Paradox

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 01 Jan 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 130 (277,864)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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negative interest rates, long-term loans, perpetual loans, perpetuity

13.

When it Pays to Pay Capital Gains

Number of pages: 2 Posted: 06 Apr 2019
Victor Haghani, Larry Hilibrand and James White
Elm Partners, Independent and Elm Partners
Downloads 117 (300,138)
Citation 2

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Tax Efficiency, Capital Gains, Tax Harvesting, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Heuristics, Portfolio Selection, Lifetime Portfolio Selection, Saving and Spending

14.

The Treasury Bill Risk Premium: Why T-Bills Are About as Risky as Stocks in the Long Term

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 10 Jun 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 114 (305,784)

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annuity, net worth, lump sum wealth, T-Bills, S&P 500, real annuity value

15.

No Place to Hide: Investing in a World With No Risk-Free Asset

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 13 Aug 2021 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2021
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 105 (325,733)

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safe assets, market risk, risk-free assets, equities, real estate, commodities, crypto-currencies

16.

The Most Important Number Not Printed in the WSJ

Number of pages: 2 Posted: 16 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 10 Jul 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 85 (370,238)

Abstract:

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Market Timing, Gambling, Betting, Manager Selection, Sharpe Ratio, Mutual Funds, Data Mining, Conditional Return

17.

A Penny Saved Is Two Pennies Earned

Number of pages: 2 Posted: 03 May 2018 Last Revised: 10 Jul 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 80 (383,798)

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Market Timing, Gambling, Betting, Manager Selection, Sharpe Ratio, Mutual Funds, Data Mining, Fees

18.

Steadfast, Greedy, or Fearful? Strategies for Responding to Extreme Market Volatility

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 03 Jun 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 74 (401,113)

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market volatility, March 2020, coronavirus, COVID-19, expected returns, expected risk

19.

Spending Like You'll Live Forever

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Apr 2021 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2021
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 57 (458,662)

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endowment, spending, yale endowment, long-term investing, endowment spending, endowment investment

20.

Who is the Biggest Investor in the Stock Market, and Why Should You Care?

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 14 Dec 2020 Last Revised: 06 Apr 2021
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 57 (458,662)

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capital gains tax, cgt, stocks, equities, us treasury, asset allocation, expected welfare

21.

To Realize, or Not to Realize? Capital Gains Tax and Portfolio Choice

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 14 Dec 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 53 (473,841)

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capital gains tax, cgt, tax horizons, portfolio value, tax calculator, realizations, realized gains, unrealized gains

22.

The Annuity Puzzle: How Big is the Free Lunch Being Left on the Table?

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 10 Jul 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 53 (473,841)

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savings crisis, market inefficiency, expected utility, zero-fee annuity, longevity risk, long-term savings, self-managed savings

23.

Mind the Gap: Inequality and Diversification

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 01 Jan 2020
James White, Victor Haghani and Jeffrey Rosenbluth
Elm Partners, Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 50 (486,081)

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wealth inequality, diversification, Concentrated Asset Betting

24.

If George Costanza Were a Hedge Fund Manager

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 27 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 48 (494,513)

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25.

There’s No Place Like Home: The Case For and Against Extreme Home Bias in Equity Investing

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 11 Nov 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 45 (507,691)

Abstract:

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home bias, equity markets, US investments, foreign investing

26.

Home Biased: A Case for More Indexing

Number of pages: 2 Posted: 11 Nov 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 42 (521,394)

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home bias, index investing, global markets, supply and demand, macro investing

27.

Golf Guru Scott Fawcett Will Make You a Better Golfer, and a Better Investor Too

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 18 Nov 2021
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 19 (657,822)

Abstract:

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scott fawcett, pga, golf, strokes gained, decade system, investing, decision making, utility, uncertainty

28.

Measuring the Fabric of Felicity

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 11 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 10 Jul 2019
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners
Downloads 13 (702,640)

Abstract:

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Decision Making under Uncertainty, Risk, Utility, Risk Aversion, Coin Flip, Heuristics, Rules of Thumb, Portfolio Selection, Lifetime Portfolio Selection, Saving and Spending

29.

Smart Beta: The Good, the Bad and the Muddy

Journal of Portfolio Management, Vol. 46, No. 4, 2020, https://jpm.pm-research.com/content/46/4/11
Posted: 17 Jul 2019 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2020
James White and Victor Haghani
Elm Partners and Elm Partners

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smart beta, factor investing, market inefficiencies, efficient-market hypothesis