Leonidas Spiliopoulos

Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development

Lentzeallee 94

D-14195 Berlin, 14195

Germany

  • Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

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22

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28

Scholarly Papers (19)

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1.

The BCD of Response Time Analysis in Experimental Economics

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 26 Feb 2014 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2016
Leonidas Spiliopoulos and Andreas Ortmann
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development and UNSW Australia Business School, School of Economics
Downloads 375 (109,433)
Citation 25

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Response time, experimental economics, procedural rationality, games, strategic decision making

2.

What Determines Macroeconomic Volatility? A Cross-Section and Panel Data Study

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 03 Oct 2005
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 228 (182,987)
Citation 2

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Macroeconomics,volatility,economic growth,variability,international economics,public policy,uncertainty

3.

Complexity, Attention and Choice in Games under Time Constraints: A Process Analysis

Number of pages: 69 Posted: 01 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 05 Oct 2017
Leonidas Spiliopoulos, Andreas Ortmann, Le Zhang and Le Zhang
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development, UNSW Australia Business School, School of Economics and Macquarie University, Macquarie Business SchoolMacquarie University - Macquarie Graduate School of Management
Downloads 185 (221,605)
Citation 4

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Response time, time pressure, experimental economics, procedural rationality, games, strategic decision making, Level-k reasoning, Mouselab, process tracing

4.

Learning Backward Induction: A Neural Network Agent Approach

Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems VI, edn. 2011, Springer, Japan, pp. 61 - 73, doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-53907-0_5
Posted: 03 Oct 2005 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2012
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 185 (221,605)

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Agent based computational economics, Backward induction, Learning models, Behavioral game theory, Simulations, Complex adaptive systems, Artificial intelligence, Neural networks

5.

The Beauty of Simplicity? (Simple) Heuristics and the Opportunities Yet to Be Realized

UNSW Business School Research Paper No. 2015-25
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 16 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 20 Oct 2015
Andreas Ortmann and Leonidas Spiliopoulos
UNSW Australia Business School, School of Economics and Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 156 (255,939)
Citation 1

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heuristics, simple heuristics, simplicity, model selection, beauty

6.

Nonlinear Decision Weights or Moment-Based Preferences? A Model Competition Involving Described and Experienced Skewness

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 13 Aug 2015 Last Revised: 17 May 2017
Leonidas Spiliopoulos and Ralph Hertwig
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development and Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 118 (316,968)
Citation 2

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risk, uncertainty, moment-based preferences, prospect theory, mixture models, Bayesian hierarchical estimation, decisions from description, decisions from experience

7.

The Determinants of Macroeconomic Volatility: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 20 Nov 2010
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 113 (326,737)
Citation 1

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Macroeconomic volatility, Growth, Government policy, Bayesian model averaging, Model selection

8.

Pattern Recognition and Subjective Belief Learning in a Repeated Constant-Sum Game

Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 75, No. 2, 2012
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2012
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 99 (357,051)
Citation 2

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Behavioral game theory, Learning, Fictitious play beliefs, Pattern detection, Repeated constant-sum games

9.

Neural Networks as a Unifying Learning Model for Random Normal Form Games

Adaptive Behavior (2011), vol. 19, no. 6, pp. 383 - 408, doi.org/10.1177/1059712311417636
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 12 Aug 2009 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2012
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 79 (409,509)
Citation 3

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Behavioral game theory, Learning, Global games, Neural networks, Agent-based computational economics, Simulations, Complex adaptive systems, Artificial intelligence

10.

Randomization and Serial Dependence in Professional Tennis Matches: Do Strategic Considerations, Player Rankings and Match Characteristics Matter?

Spiliopoulos, L. (2018). Randomization and serial dependence in professional tennis matches: Do strategic considerations, player rankings and match characteristics matter?. Judgment and Decision Making, 13(5), 413-427.
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 29 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 22 Dec 2019
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 73 (428,014)

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Randomization, Mixed Strategy Nash Equilibrium, Minimax, Tennis, Sports Data Analytics

11.

Strategic Adaptation of Humans Playing Computer Algorithms in a Repeated Constant-Sum Game

Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems (2012); doi.org/10.1007/s10458-012-9203-z
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 16 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2012
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 73 (428,014)
Citation 6

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Learning, Pattern detection, Computer algorithms, Constant sum games, Experience weighted attraction, Repeated games

12.

On the Effectiveness of COVID-19 Restrictions and Lockdowns: Pan Metron Ariston

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 29 Jul 2021
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 64 (458,479)

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COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, non-pharmaceutical interventions, case and death growth rates, simultaneous structural equations, contact tracing, vaccination

13.

Interactive Learning in 2×2 Normal Form Games by Neural Network Agents

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications (2012) - Volume 391, Issue 22, Pages 5557–5562
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 13 Aug 2012
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 59 (477,179)

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Game theory, Learning, Neural networks, Agent-based computational economics, Simulations, Complex adaptive systems

14.

The Determinants of Response Time in a Repeated Constant-Sum Game: A Robust Bayesian Hierarchical Dual-Process Model

Cognition, 172, 107-123 doi: 10.1016/j.cognition.2017.11.006
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 06 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 04 Jun 2018
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 53 (500,930)
Citation 4

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response time, dual-process models, pattern recognition, reinforcement learning, win-stay lose shift heuristic, Bayesian hierarchical modeling, robust inference, non-cooperative game theory, constant-sum games, experimental economics

15.

Beyond Fictitious Play Beliefs: Incorporating Pattern Recognition and Similarity Matching

Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 81, 2013
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 26 Jun 2013
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 18 (700,527)

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Learning, Pattern recognition, Beliefs, Repeated games, Memory, Cognitive models, Behavioral game theory, ACT-R

16.

On the evolution of heuristics and bounded rational behavior in random games

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 18 Nov 2021
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Downloads 16 (716,123)

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game theory, bounded rationality and heuristics, ecological rationality, evolution and replicator dynamics, Theory of Mind, Level-k reasoningparated]

17.

A Map of Ecologically Rational Heuristics for Uncertain Strategic Worlds

Psychological review (2019), Doi.org/10.1037/rev0000171
Posted: 01 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 22 Dec 2019
Leonidas Spiliopoulos and Ralph Hertwig
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development and Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development

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game theory, strategic uncertainty, fast and frugal heuristics, ecological rationality, bounded rationality, one shot games

18.

Transfer of Conflict and Cooperation from Experienced Games to New Games: A Connectionist Model of Learning

Frontiers in Neuroscience 9. doi:10.3389/fnins.2015.00102.
Posted: 19 Jun 2015
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development

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transfer of learning, game theory, cooperation and conflict, connectionist modeling, neural networks and behavior, agent-based modeling

19.

Model Comparisons Using Tournaments: Likes, 'Dislikes', and Challenges

Psychological Methods (Forthcoming)
Posted: 12 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 20 Aug 2013
Leonidas Spiliopoulos and Andreas Ortmann
Max Planck Society for the Advancement of the Sciences - Max Planck Institute for Human Development and UNSW Australia Business School, School of Economics

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prediction tournaments, model comparisons, adaptive behavior, heuristics, bounded rationality, ecological rationality