Ivan Kitov

Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Lead Researcher

Leninsky prospect 38/1

Moscow, Moscow 119334

Russia

http://idg3.chph.ras.ru

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

66

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7,465

SSRN CITATIONS
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15

CROSSREF CITATIONS

147

Scholarly Papers (66)

1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in the USA

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 1,033 (27,564)
Citation 13

Abstract:

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Inflation, unemployment, labor force, USA, time series models

2.

Exact Prediction of S&P 500 Returns

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 04 Dec 2007
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 672 (49,839)
Citation 1

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population, economic growth

3.

GDP Growth Rate and Population

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 461 (79,966)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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Economic development, GDP, population, modeling, the USA

4.

Real GDP Per Capita in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 383 (99,264)
Citation 9

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Economic development, economic trend, business cycle, GDP per capita

5.

Linear Lagged Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Labor Force Change Rate in France: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 30 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 291 (134,076)
Citation 4

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cointegration, inflation, unemployment, labor force, forecasting, France, VAR, VECM

6.

Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 254 (154,027)
Citation 5

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GDP per capita, population estimates, cointegration, VAR, VECM, USA

7.

Predicting Gold Ores Price

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 192 (200,608)
Citation 2

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gold ores, prediction, PPI

8.

Exact Prediction of Inflation in the USA

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Jul 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 189 (203,534)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Inflation, labor force, forecast, the USA

9.

A Model for Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Development

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 181 (211,384)
Citation 5

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personal income distribution, microeconomic modeling, real GDP, macroeconomics

10.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Canada

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 158 (238,613)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Canada

11.

Long-Term Linear Trends in Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Jan 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 156 (239,833)
Citation 15

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index, stock market index

12.

Modeling the Transition from a Socialist to Capitalist Economic System

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 143 (257,440)
Citation 1

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socialism, capitalism, transition, economic modelling, GDP per capita

13.

Modeling the Evolution of Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the USA Between 1947 and 2005

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 135 (269,349)
Citation 2

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Gini index, personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

14.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Germany

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 119 (295,796)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Germany

15.

The Japanese Economy

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 119 (295,796)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Economic growth, inflation, modeling, Japan

16.

Employment, Unemployment and Real Economic Growth

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 25 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 117 (299,261)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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employment, unemployment, real GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

17.

Real GDP Per Capita Since 1870

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 May 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 115 (302,984)
Citation 1

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GDP, model, economic growth, inertia, trend, OECD

18.

Inflation as a Function of Labor Force Change Rate: Cointegration Test for the USA

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 115 (302,984)
Citation 11

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cointegration, inflation, labor force, forecasting, USA, VAR, VECM

19.

Okun’s Law Revisited: Is There Structural Unemployment in Developed Countries?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 10 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 113 (306,819)
Citation 3

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unemployment, GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

20.

Modelling the Age-Dependent Personal Income Distribution in the USA

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 104 (324,806)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

21.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Japan

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 102 (329,056)

Abstract:

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unemployment, labor force, modeling, Japan

22.

Modelling the Overall Personal Income Distribution in the USA from 1994 to 2002

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 102 (329,056)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

23.

Comprehensive Macro-Model for the U.S. Economy

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Aug 2008
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 97 (339,939)
Citation 4

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US economy, macroeconomic model, real GDP, inflation, unemployment, labor force, productivity, demography

24.

S&P 500 Returns Revisited

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Apr 2010
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 93 (349,094)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population pyramid, GDP

25.

ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil Stock Price

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 89 (358,875)
Citation 8

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stock price, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

26.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labor Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Japan

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 86 (366,586)
Citation 1

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inflation, labor force, unemployment, Japan

27.

Evolution of the Personal Income Distribution in the USA: High Incomes

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 85 (369,268)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

28.

Predicting Real GDP Per Capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 72 (406,153)

Abstract:

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real GDP per capita, modelling, prediction, population

29.

Does Economics Need a Scientific Revolution?

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 06 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 72 (406,153)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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economics, science

30.

Apples and Oranges: Relative Growth Rate of Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 72 (406,153)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index

31.

Inflation and Unemployment in Switzerland: From 1970 to 2050

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Feb 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 70 (412,345)

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Inflation, Unemployment, Labour Force, Forecasting, Switzerland

32.

Why Income Inequality Estimates Based on Data from the IRS and Census Bureau are Different? Methodological Notes

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 68 (418,871)
Citation 2

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personal income distribution, economic inequality, Gini coefficient, IRS, Census Bureau

33.

The Anti-Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 26 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 67 (422,168)
Citation 1

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the Phillips curve, inflation, unemployment, causality

34.

The Driving Force of Labor Productivity

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 66 (425,538)
Citation 2

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modeling

35.

Predicting Share Price of Energy Companies: June-September 2009

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 65 (428,851)

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COP, CVX, DVN, HAL, XOM, prediction, share price, CPI

36.

Predicting the Price Index for Jewelry and Jewelry Products: 2009 to 2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 64 (432,282)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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jewelry and jewelry products, prediction, PPI

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 28 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 63 (441,684)

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Posted: 12 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

38.

Modelling of Selected S&P 500 Share Prices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 62 (439,272)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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CPI, prediction, IBM, DOV, PG, DD, APD, CVX, DVN, HAL

39.

The Dynamics of Personal Income Distribution and Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 61 (442,708)
Citation 6

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income dynamics, income distribution, inequality, age profiles, Gini, United

40.

Sustainable Trends in Producer Price Indices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 13 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 60 (446,284)
Citation 10

Abstract:

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PPI, CPI, US, prediction

41.

The Driving Force of Labor Force Participation in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 07 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 56 (461,150)
Citation 3

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labor force participation, real GDP per capita, prediction

42.

Modelling the Average Income Dependence on Work Experience in the USA from 1967 to 2002

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 54 (468,683)
Citation 2

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personal income distribution, mean income, median income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

43.

Cross Comparison and Modelling of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPmorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Franklin Resources

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 53 (472,652)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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share price, modeling, CPI, prediction, USA, bankruptcy

44.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Countries

INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE CHANGE IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, T.Nagakawa, ed. , Nova Science Publishers, 2007
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 12 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 53 (472,652)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models

45.

Measures of Income Inequality are Biased or Misinterpreted

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Dec 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 50 (484,880)

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income inequality, Gini coefficient, households

46.

Race and Gender Income Inequality in the USA: Black Women vs. White Men

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 02 Jul 2020
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 44 (510,920)

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Personal Income, Evolution, Age, Race, GDP per Capita, USA

47.

PPI of Durable and Nondurable Goods: 1985-2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 43 (515,429)
Citation 2

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durable goods, nondurable goods, prediction, PPI

48.

Unemployment and Inflation in Western Europe: Solution by the Boundary Integral Method

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Mar 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 43 (515,429)
Citation 9

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unemployment, inflation, labor force, boundary integral method, prediction, Western Europe

49.

Modelling and Predicting Labor Force Productivity

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 41 (524,832)

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modelling

50.

Modeling the Price of Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: A Five-Year Revision

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 26 Feb 2015
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 37 (544,532)

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crude oil, motor fuel, price, prediction, USA

51.

Does Banque De France Control Inflation and Unemployment?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 37 (544,532)

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monetary policy, inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, measurement error, forecasting, cointegration, France

52.

Modeling Share Prices of Banks and Bankrupts

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2010
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 37 (544,532)

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Share Price, Modeling, CPI, Prediction, The USA, Bankruptcy

53.

Modeling the Evolution of Age-Dependent Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the U.S. between 1967 and 2005

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 37 (544,532)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, age, mean income, microeconomic modelling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

54.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labour Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Austria

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 35 (555,003)
Citation 1

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inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, forecasting, monetary policy, Austria

55.

Mechanical Model of Personal Income Distribution

Number of pages: 220 Posted: 21 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (560,358)
Citation 1

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personal income, modelling, mechanics, the US

56.

The Australian Phillips Curve and More

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Feb 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 30 (582,664)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, modeling, Australia

57.

A Fair Price for Motor Fuel in the United States

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 08 May 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 28 (594,834)

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CPI, motor fuel price, prediction, US

58.

The Link between Unemployment and Real Economic Growth in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 27 (601,027)

Abstract:

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unemployment, GDP, modelling, Okun’s law

59.

Gender Income Disparity in the USA: Analysis and Dynamic Modelling

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 27 (601,027)
Citation 1

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income, gender, age, USA, modelling

60.

Why Price Inflation in Developed Countries is Systematically Underestimated

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 28 May 2012 Last Revised: 01 Jun 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 25 (614,158)
Citation 2

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real GDP, inflation, interest rate, central bank, developed countries

61.

Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: Fair Price Revisited

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 Apr 2010
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 22 (634,931)
Citation 1

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62.

Real GDP per capita: global redistribution of economic power

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 21 (642,010)

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development, GDP per capita, economic trend, business cycle

63.

Sustainable Trends and Periodicity in Consumer Price Indices Indicate that the Era of Low Energy Prices is Approaching

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 21 (642,010)
Citation 1

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CPI, core CPI, energy, housing, food, trend, periodicity

64.

A Win-Win Monetary Policy in Canada

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Apr 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 19 (656,257)

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structural break, inflation, unemployment, labour force, modelling, Canada

65.

Conocophillips’ Share Price Model Revisited

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Apr 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 18 (663,469)

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stock price, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

66.

How Universal is the Law of Income Distribution? Cross Country Comparison

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 7 (748,463)
Citation 1

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income, evolution, model, country comparison, GDP per capita, USA, UK, New Zealand, Canada

Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 0
1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties

Posted: 30 Aug 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models