João Tovar Jalles

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

Technical University of Lisbon (UTL) - Research Unit on Complexity and Economics (UECE)

Rua Miguel Lupi, 20

Lisboa, 1200-781

Portugal

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

60

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4,881

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 15,653

in Total Papers Citations

33

CROSSREF CITATIONS

39

Scholarly Papers (60)

1.

EU Competition Policy: Some Real Case Applications

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 521
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 430 (88,633)

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2.

Empirical Applications of Neoclassical Growth Models the Fit of the Solow Augmented Growth Model

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 520
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 401 (96,094)

Abstract:

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3.

Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter: A Concise Review

FEUNL Working Paper No. 541
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Nov 2009
João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 343 (114,626)
Citation 30

Abstract:

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SUTSE, cointegration, ARIMA, smoothing, likelihood

4.

Endogenous Growth Models: Jones vs. Romer the Path to a Fully-Fledged Dynamic Analysis

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 522
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 305 (130,128)

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5.

Economic Performance and Government Size

ECB Working Paper No. 1399
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 257 (155,268)

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Growth, institutions, fiscal rules, pooled mean group, common correlated effects

6.
Downloads 250 (159,630)
Citation 13

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

Technical University of Lisbon Department of Economics Working Paper No. 13/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 24 Jul 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 250 (159,050)
Citation 13

Abstract:

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government debt, crises, panel analysis

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

International Review of Economics & Finance, Forthcoming
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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government debt, crises, panel analysis

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

ECB Working Paper No. 1465
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 05 Sep 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 161 (238,365)

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debt, primary balance, fiscal regimes, stationarity, breaks, causality, panel cointegration, FMOLS

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 29/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 25 Nov 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 36 (572,140)
Citation 11

Abstract:

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debt, primary balance, fiscal regimes, stationarity, breaks, causality, panel

8.

The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU

REM Working Paper 067-2019
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Feb 2019
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Mina Kazemi
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon - ISEG School of Economics and Management
Downloads 176 (220,666)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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sovereign yields, fiscal policy, monetary policy, event analysis, panel data

9.

Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 159 (240,486)

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10.

Twin Deficits Revisited: A Role for Fiscal Institutions?

REM Working Paper 031-2018
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 141 (265,224)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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current account, fiscal balance, fiscal rules, panel data, system GMM

11.

Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: A Cross-country Efficiency Dataset

REM Working Paper 0147-2020
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 02 Dec 2020
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 126 (290,728)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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government spending efficiency, public sector performance, non-parametric estimation, DEA, OECD

12.

Fiscal Composition and Long-Term Growth

ECB Occasional Paper No. 1518
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 08 Mar 2013
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 108 (322,395)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Budget deficit, budget decomposition, panel analysis, panel causality

13.

Causality for the Government Budget and Economic Growth

Department of Economics, ISEG-UL, Working Paper nº WP07/2014/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 28 Apr 2014
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 103 (332,772)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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government expenditures, goverment revenues, panel causality, GMM

14.

Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Emmanouil Kitsios, João Tovar Jalles and Genevieve Verdier
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - IMF Institute
Downloads 95 (350,777)

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15.
Downloads 94 (353,073)
Citation 1

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

ISEG-UTL Economics Working Paper No. 23/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 94 (355,921)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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fiscal regimes, Panel VAR, cross-sectional dependence

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31 (4), 3320-3330
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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fiscal regimes, Panel VAR, cross-sectional dependence

16.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 82 (384,008)

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17.

Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison

REM Working Paper 080-2018
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 May 2019
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 79 (392,448)

Abstract:

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government spending efficiency, public sector performance, tax structure, data envelopment analysis (DEA), Malmquist indices, non-parametric estimation, panel data, OECD

18.

Assessing the Sustainability of External Imbalances in the European Union

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 10/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 15 Jun 2017
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 78 (395,350)

Abstract:

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current account, exports, imports, net foreign assets, unit roots, structural breaks, cointegration, error-correction, cross-sectional dependence

19.

Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence

REM Working Paper 020-2017
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 11 Dec 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 77 (398,303)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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sovereign bonds, fiscal policy, non-conventional monetary policy, time-varying coefficients, panel data

20.
Downloads 77 (398,303)
Citation 2

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

ISEG Department of Economics Working Paper No. 07/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 23 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 77 (402,575)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, growth, government size, panel analysis

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 20, No. 1, 2013 (Forthcoming)
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, growth, government size, panel analysis

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 06/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 23 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 74 (411,902)

Abstract:

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growth, fiscal volatility, crises, panel analysis

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 19, No. 18, 2012
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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growth, fiscal volatility, crises, panel analysis

22.

Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 03/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 20 Jan 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 69 (422,998)
Citation 2

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23.

A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies

Number of pages: 91 Posted: 08 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 68 (426,250)
Citation 1

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Reform; Regulation; Product Market; Network Industries; Labor Market; Employment Protection; Unemployment insurance, Reform, Regulation, Product Market, Network Industries, Labor Market, Employment Protection, Unemployment insurance, Legal Monopolies and Regulation or Deregulation, Economics of Regulation, Institutions and Growth

24.

Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies

Technical University of Lisbon – ISEG, Working Paper No. 16/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 18 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 62 (446,868)
Citation 1

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budgetary decomposition, panel analysis, causality, non-linearities, fiscal-rules

25.

Slow Recovery to Nowhere? A Sectoral View of Labor Markets in Advanced Economies

World Economic Outlook, September 2011
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Dec 2011
Prakash Loungani, Su Wang, Laura Feiveson and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Department of Economics, M.I.T., Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 60 (454,004)

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employment, productivity, middle-income jobs, inequality

26.

A Longer-Run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability

ISEG Working Paper No. 17
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 18 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 57 (465,361)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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fiscal sustainability, government debt, unit roots, breaks, structural time series

27.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 56 (469,074)
Citation 1

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Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

ISEG-UTL Economics Working Paper No. 22/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 06 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 50 (501,847)

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fiscal episodes, panel data, logit

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 22, No. 13, 2012
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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fiscal episodes, panel data, logit

29.

Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: A Time-Varying Approach

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 04/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 48 (501,699)

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volatility, fiscal policy, bond spreads, weighted least squares, time-varying coefficients

30.

How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 27 Aug 2019
Zidong An, João Tovar Jalles and Prakash Loungani
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 47 (506,073)

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Economic forecasting, Economic recession, Economic models, Economic growth, Business cycles, Production growth, Financial crises, recession, bias, efficiency, information rigidity, forecast comparison, recession year, current-year, forecast, forecaster, emerge economy

31.

Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?

REM Working Paper 015-2017
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 47 (506,073)

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fiscal rules, sovereign yields, financing costs, impulse response functions, local projection

32.

Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 13/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 22 Sep 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 45 (515,037)
Citation 1

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fiscal sustainability, causality, impulse response functions, time-varying coefficients, fiscal rules, logistic model

33.

Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics

REM Working Paper 072-2019
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Mar 2019
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 44 (519,618)

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sovereign ratings, ordered probit, sovereign debt, panel data, principal components

34.

The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 23/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 14 Oct 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 43 (524,286)
Citation 1

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debt, deflation, local projection, impulse response functions, GMM, recessions, expansions

35.

Assessing Fiscal Episodes

ISEG Working Paper No. 15/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 40 (538,736)
Citation 1

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fiscal consolidation, non-Keynesian effects, panel data, logit

36.

Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?

REM Working Paper 0166-2021
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 23 Mar 2021
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 38 (548,683)

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government spending efficiency, DEA, panel analysis, ordered probit (logit); sovereign ratings, rating agencies

37.

The Fiscal-Growth Nexus

Technical University of Lisbon Department of Economics Working Paper No. 01/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 13 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 37 (553,841)

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budgetary decomposition, crises, panel analysis

38.

Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-)Significance

REM Working Paper 016-2017
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 35 (564,413)

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fiscal regimes, FTPL, panel data, panel VAR, panel stationarity, cross-sectional dependence, global financial crisis

39.

Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 04/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jan 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 33 (575,204)

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volatility, fiscal policy, inflation, GARCH, Consensus Forecasts

40.

Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency

REM Working Paper 0146-2020
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Dec 2020
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 32 (580,641)

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government spending efficiency; tax reforms; data envelopment analysis; non-parametric estimation; panel data; political economy

41.

Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The Role of Demand and Supply Shocks

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP08/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 08 May 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 30 (592,296)

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Blanchard-Quah, mark-up, VAR, impulse response function, local projection

42.

Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Elva Bova, João Tovar Jalles and Christina Elisabeth Kolerus
Independent, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 29 (598,349)
Citation 1

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Labor markets, Labor supply, Labor demand, Unemployment, Labor market characteristics, Econometric models, Time series, vacancies, unemployment, employment protection legislation, cointegration, breaks, probit

43.

Globalization, Democracy and Development

NBER Working Paper No. w19575
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 25 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 27 Dec 2021
New University of Lisbon - Faculdade de Economia, Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPII, Paris and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 29 (598,349)

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44.

Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 22 May 2018
The National Academies - National Academy of Sciences (NAS), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Nottingham
Downloads 26 (617,447)

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Greenhouse gas emissions, Gross domestic product, China, Emissions, Environmental Okun's Law, Kuznets Curve, China, Provinces

45.

Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-Level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 21 Mar 2018
Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri and João Tovar Jalles
Yonsei University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 22 (645,007)

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Financial data, Fiscal stabilization, Fiscal stabilization, Total factor productivity, Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Developing countries, Economic growth, industry-level data, time varying coefficients, growth, technologies of production, General

46.

Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 05/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 22 (645,007)

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fiscal components, bond yields, Great Recession, PVAR, impulse responses

47.

Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 May 2021
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 21 (652,030)

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48.

The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 16/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 25 Nov 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 21 (652,030)
Citation 1

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price level, yields, Ricardian regimes, SURE, local projection, impulse response function

49.

Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP09/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 Jul 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 21 (652,030)

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imperfect competition, TFP, fiscal consolidation, local projection, business cycle, impulse response functions, GMM

50.

The Cyclicality of Education, Health, and Social Security Government Spending

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 30/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 25 Nov 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 21 (652,030)

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business cycle, output gap, functional spending, panel analysis

51.

Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks

REM Working Paper 066-2019
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 19 (666,406)

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Government Debt, Budget Deficit, Structural Deficit, Intertemporal Government Budget Constraint, Fiscal Rules, Panel Data, System GMM, Filtering

52.

Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area

REM Working Paper 042-2018
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Jul 2018
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 18 (673,636)
Citation 1

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53.

(Non-)Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a Large Sample

REM Working Paper 0158-2021
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
António Afonso, José Alves, José Alves and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Technical University of Lisbon (UTL) - Department of EconomicsUECE - Research Unit on Complexity in Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 14 (703,783)

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non-Keynesian effects, fiscal consolidation, filtering, consumption, investment, financial crises, panel data, endogeneity

54.

Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions

REM Working Paper 111-2019
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Jan 2020
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 12 (719,723)

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sovereign indebtedness, panel data, financial stress, global financial crisis, emerging markets

55.

International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt

REM Working Paper 0156-2021
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 11 (727,562)

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interest rates, international reserves, government debt, spillover effects, monetary policy, fiscal policy, panel analysis

56.

Assessing the Sustainability of External Imbalances in the European Union

The World Economy, Vol. 42, Issue 2, pp. 320-348, 2019
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 12 Feb 2019
António Afonso, Florence Huart, João Tovar Jalles and Piotr Stanek
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and New University of Lisbon - Nova School of Business and Economics
Downloads 1 (813,285)
Citation 1
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cointegration, current account, error correction, exports, imports, net foreign assets, structural breaks, unit roots

57.

Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector

Number of pages: 67 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Rui Esteves and João Tovar Jalles
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 1 (813,285)
Citation 3
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Credit Rationing, Foreign Investment, Pre-1914, Sovereign Default

58.

On the Time‐Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What Shapes it?

Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 66, Issue 5, pp. 605-630, 2019
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Jun 2020
João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 0 (830,851)
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59.

Cross‐Country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes

Review of Development Economics, Vol. 23, Issue 4, pp. 1818-1839, 2019
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 05 Jun 2020
João Tovar Jalles and Luiz de Mello
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
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growth, income distribution, multinomial probit, relogit

60.

An Assessment of the IMF's Unemployment Forecasts

The Manchester School, Vol. 87, Issue 4, pp. 489-509, 2019
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 29 May 2020
Zidong An, João Tovar Jalles and Prakash Loungani
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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