Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership

46 Pages Posted: 5 Nov 2007 Last revised: 15 Jul 2010

See all articles by Robert J. Shiller

Robert J. Shiller

Yale University - Cowles Foundation; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Yale University - International Center for Finance

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Date Written: October 2007

Abstract

This paper looks at a broad array of evidence concerning the recent boom in home prices, and considers what this means for future home prices and the economy. It does not appear possible to explain the boom in terms of fundamentals such as rents or construction costs. A psychological theory, that represents the boom as taking place because of a feedback mechanism or social epidemic that encourages a view of housing as an important investment opportunity, fits the evidence better.

Suggested Citation

Shiller, Robert J., Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership (October 2007). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1027183

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