Chance and Litigation

16 Pages Posted: 30 Sep 2011 Last revised: 10 Sep 2014

See all articles by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

F. E. Guerra-Pujol

University of Central Florida; Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico

Date Written: September 28, 2011


Is the litigation game as random as a coin toss? In this paper, the author presents the results of his preliminary research regarding the randomness of litigation. Specifically, the author formulates and then tests his “random litigation hypothesis” -- the conjecture that the litigation game is a random process with just two possible outcomes, like a coin toss, and that the litigants to a dispute are essentially playing a game of chance when they submit their dispute to a court for resolution.

Keywords: chance, randomness, coin toss, litigation game, random litigation hypothesis, relative frequency

JEL Classification: C81, C83, K41

Suggested Citation

Guerra-Pujol, F. E., Chance and Litigation (September 28, 2011). Boston University Public Interest Law Journal, Vol. 21, No. 1 (Fall 2011), pp. 45-59, Available at SSRN: or

F. E. Guerra-Pujol (Contact Author)

University of Central Florida ( email )

Orlando, FL 32816
United States


Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico ( email )

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