Population Matters When Modeling Hurricane Fatalities

4 Pages Posted: 4 Sep 2014

See all articles by Laura Bakkensen

Laura Bakkensen

University of Arizona - School of Government and Public Policy

William D. Larson

Federal Housing Finance Agency

Date Written: September 3, 2014

Abstract

Jung et al. (2014) find gender bias leads to misperception of hurricane risk in both experimental and historical evidence, concluding that this bias has led to increased fatalities in the historical record. We affirm the rich literature on gender bias and its impacts. However, we argue that the empirical analysis leading to the Jung et al.’s stylized fact suffers from endogeneity. Once this issue is addressed, we find the previous results to be of questionable robustness. While there may be a gender bias in initial perception, especially in a limited-information experimental setting, historical evidence does not indicate gender bias in the number of deaths caused by hurricanes.

Suggested Citation

Bakkensen, Laura and Larson, William D., Population Matters When Modeling Hurricane Fatalities (September 3, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2491237 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2491237

Laura Bakkensen

University of Arizona - School of Government and Public Policy ( email )

315 Social Science Building
Tucson, AZ 85721
United States

William D. Larson (Contact Author)

Federal Housing Finance Agency ( email )

400 7th Street SW
Washington, DC 20552
United States

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