Global, Regional, and Country-Specific Components of Financial Market Indicators

Acta Oeconomica, Vol. 64 (S1) pp. x–y (2014) DOI: 10.1556/AOecon.64.2014.S1.3

30 Pages Posted: 14 Oct 2015

Date Written: January 13, 2015

Abstract

This paper studies the global, regional, and country-specific components of four key financial market indicators: sovereign CDS spreads, equity indices, exchange rates, and EMBI Global bond spreads. In all four markets, the results support the findings of the literature of a significant global component, but also point out the importance of regional correlations. Variance decompositions point to roughly a third of variance explained by both global and country-specific components in each of the four analysed financial markets, although there is considerable cross-country heterogeneity in this respect. The global factors of indicators are correlated across asset classes, but the market- and country-specific components of indicators are still significantly large to suggest diversification benefits of both multi-asset and multi-country portfolios. An application of the factor model suggests that the link between Central Eastern European and Euro zone periphery markets is stronger and more direct in the case of equity indices than in the case of sovereign CDS spreads.

Keywords: variance decomposition, factor analysis, Procrustes rotation, spillover, cross-country

JEL Classification: C38, E44, G15

Suggested Citation

Kocsis, Zalan, Global, Regional, and Country-Specific Components of Financial Market Indicators (January 13, 2015). Acta Oeconomica, Vol. 64 (S1) pp. x–y (2014) DOI: 10.1556/AOecon.64.2014.S1.3, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2672871

Zalan Kocsis (Contact Author)

Magyar Nemzeti Bank ( email )

Szabadsag ter 8-9
Budapest, H-1850
Hungary

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