Prospects for the Completion of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict: An Option that Will Suit All International Actors

17 Pages Posted: 4 May 2017

See all articles by Anatoliy A. (Anatolii) Shiyan (Shyian)

Anatoliy A. (Anatolii) Shiyan (Shyian)

Vinnitsa National Technical University (VNTU); Independent Research Group “Analytics in Economics and Security”

Liliya O. Nikiforova

Vinnitsa National Technical University (VNTU)

Date Written: May 4, 2017

Abstract

At the end of 2016 and early in 2017, Russia carried out a number of actions against Ukraine. The paper describes possible steps of Russia in the development of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. It is shown that there is the possibility of dividing Ukraine into three parts: a) the Eastern part – under the control of the subordinate Russia of the former president of Ukraine V. Yanukovich; b) the Central one under the control of the existing power of P. Poroshenko; and c) the Western one (which will develop towards integration into Poland, Hungary and Romania). This development of events may well satisfy all international players in the event that Russia takes the initiative to convene the "Second Helsinki Declaration" (Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe). The authorities in Ukraine are losing the opportunity to prevent Russia’s actions, but possible actions are described in the article.

Keywords: Russia, Ukraine, conflict decision, attack on territory, international actors, scenarios for normalization

JEL Classification: D74, F52, N44, P26

Suggested Citation

Shiyan (Shyian), Anatoliy A. (Anatolii) and Shiyan (Shyian), Anatoliy A. (Anatolii) and Nikiforova, Liliya O., Prospects for the Completion of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict: An Option that Will Suit All International Actors (May 4, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963215 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2963215

Anatoliy A. (Anatolii) Shiyan (Shyian) (Contact Author)

Vinnitsa National Technical University (VNTU) ( email )

Khmelnitskoe schosse 95
Vinnitsa, Vinnitsa oblast 21021
Ukraine
+380968061786 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://soctech.narod.ru

Independent Research Group “Analytics in Economics and Security”

Vinnitsia
Ukraine

Liliya O. Nikiforova

Vinnitsa National Technical University (VNTU) ( email )

Khmelnitskoe schosse 95
Vinnitsa, Vinnitsa oblast 21021
Ukraine

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
349
Abstract Views
516
rank
110,613
PlumX Metrics