Self-Driving Cars and the City: Long-Run Effects On Land Use, Welfare, and the Environment

40 Pages Posted: 20 Oct 2017

See all articles by William D. Larson

William D. Larson

Federal Housing Finance Agency

Weihua Zhao

University of Louisville - College of Business - Department of Economics

Date Written: October 13, 2017

Abstract

This paper considers the widespread adoption of electric, shared, autonomous vehicles (AVs). Numerical simulations suggest falling transportation costs and changing center-city land use patterns will reshape the urban form of the city, with several primary consequences. The most likely scenarios suggest substantial household welfare increases, suburbanization, and increased household energy consumption, calling into question claims that autonomous vehicles will save energy.

Keywords: Autonomous Vehicle, Transportation, Energy Consumption, Land Use

JEL Classification: R11, R28, C60

Suggested Citation

Larson, William D. and Zhao, Weihua, Self-Driving Cars and the City: Long-Run Effects On Land Use, Welfare, and the Environment (October 13, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3055976 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3055976

William D. Larson

Federal Housing Finance Agency ( email )

400 7th Street SW
Washington, DC 20552
United States

Weihua Zhao (Contact Author)

University of Louisville - College of Business - Department of Economics ( email )

Louisville, KY 40292
United States

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