Funding Long Shots
51 Pages Posted: 25 Oct 2017 Last revised: 9 Apr 2019
Date Written: April 7, 2019
We define long shots as investment projects with four features: (1) low probabilities of success; (2) long gestation lags before any cash flows are realized; (3) large required up-front investments; and (4) very large payoffs (relative to initial investment) in the unlikely event of success. Funding long shots is becoming increasingly difficult—even for high-risk investment vehicles like hedge funds and venture funds—despite the fact that some of society’s biggest challenges such as cancer, Alzheimer’s disease, global warming, and fossil-fuel depletion depend critically on the ability to undertake such investments. We investigate the possibility of improving financing for long shots by pooling them into a single portfolio that can be financed via securitized debt, and examine the conditions under which such funding mechanisms are likely to be effective.
Keywords: Capital Budgeting; Impact Investing; Venture Capital; Private Equity; Megafund; Securitization; Portfolio Theory; Research-Backed Obligation
JEL Classification: G31, G32, G24, G11
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation