Robust Corporate Signaling with Heterogeneous Beliefs

31 Pages Posted: 7 Jun 2021 Last revised: 13 Dec 2021

Date Written: December 13, 2021

Abstract

We study the ability of a manager to use costly corporate signaling to reveal private information about firm characteristics prior to entering a new round of equity financing. We assume that the manager and the investor that provides financing may have heterogeneous and privately known beliefs regarding the value of firm characteristics. We show that equity prices under any informative signaling scheme must necessarily rely on the investor's perceived distribution of managerial beliefs. Therefore, incentive compatibility of signaling requires the manager to form precise beliefs regarding their prospective investor's higher order beliefs. Given the practical difficulty of forming correct beliefs regarding the higher order beliefs of other agents, we study robust signaling which remains incentive compatible for all higher order beliefs of the investor. Any robust disclosure mechanism is completely uninformative casting doubt on the efficacy of dynamic corporate signaling.

Keywords: Corporate Signaling, Beliefs, Robustness

JEL Classification: D86, D82, G30

Suggested Citation

Rivera, Thomas, Robust Corporate Signaling with Heterogeneous Beliefs (December 13, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3857114 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3857114

Thomas Rivera (Contact Author)

McGill University ( email )

1001 Sherbrooke St W
Montreal, Quebec h3A 1G5

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