Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2293

17 Pages Posted: 5 Aug 2021

See all articles by Orazio Attanasio

Orazio Attanasio

Yale University

Lina Cardona Sosa

World Bank

Carlos Medina

Central Bank of Colombia

Costas Meghir

Yale University; Yale University - Cowles Foundation; Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Christian Posso

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: July 30, 2021

Abstract

Conditional Cash transfer (CCT) programs have been shown to have positive effects on a variety of outcomes including education, consumption and health visits, amongst others. We estimate the long-run impacts of the urban version of Familias en Acción, the Colombian CCT program on crime, teenage pregnancy, high school dropout and college enrollment using a Regression Discontinuity design on administrative data. ITT estimates show a reduction on arrest rates of 2.7pp for men and a reduction on teenage pregnancy of 2.3pp for women. High school dropout rates were reduced by 5.8pp and college enrollment was increased by 1.7pp for men.

Keywords: CCT programs, human capital accumulation, crime, adolescent pregnancy, RDD

JEL Classification: D04, K42, I23, I28, I38, J13

Suggested Citation

Attanasio, Orazio and Cardona Sosa, Lina and Medina, Carlos and Meghir, Costas and Posso, Christian, Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia (July 30, 2021). Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2293, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3896427 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3896427

Orazio Attanasio

Yale University

New Haven, CT 06520
United States

Lina Cardona Sosa

World Bank ( email )

1818 H Street, NW
Washington, DC 20433
United States

Carlos Medina

Central Bank of Colombia ( email )

Carrera 7 #14-78
3551 de Bogotá
Colombia

Costas Meghir (Contact Author)

Yale University ( email )

37 Hillhouse avenue
New Haven, CT CT 06511
United States
+12034323558 (Phone)

Yale University - Cowles Foundation ( email )

Box 208281
New Haven, CT 06520-8281
United States

Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) ( email )

7 Ridgmount Street
London, WC1E 7AE
United Kingdom

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Christian Posso

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill

102 Ridge Road
Chapel Hill, NC NC 27514
United States

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